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2026 Alaska's At-Large Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
United States House of Representatives (At-Large) • Alaska's At-Large Congressional District
Updated: 8/7/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

Alaska's lone U.S. House seat is being contested in 2026 using the state's top-four nonpartisan primary (Aug. 18, 2026) and ranked-choice general election (Nov. 3, 2026). Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III, elected in 2024 after defeating Democratic incumbent Mary Peltola, faces a large field of challengers. The leading Democratic candidate, Anchorage pastor Matt Schultz, suspended his campaign on July 17, 2026, and endorsed independent commercial fisherman and former schools superintendent Bill Hill, who has become the primary challenger to Begich. Key issues include the cost of living in Alaska, health care affordability, the influence of outside money in politics, and Begich's voting record on federal spending and tax policy. The outcome could affect the narrow partisan balance in the U.S. House.

Candidates

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Nick Begich III

Nick Begich III

R Incumbent

Nick Begich III is the incumbent U.S. Representative for Alaska's at-large district, first elected in 2024 after defeating Democratic incumbent Mary Peltola. He is a businessman who founded FarShore Partners, a software development company, and is a member of Alaska's prominent Begich political family. He has been a reliable conservative vote in Congress, supporting President Trump's budget proposals and tax policies.

Matt Schultz is a Presbyterian pastor at Anchorage's First Presbyterian Church who ran as a Democrat for Alaska's U.S. House seat. On July 17, 2026, he suspended his campaign, citing a lack of institutional Democratic support and the need to unite against Republican incumbent Nick Begich, and endorsed independent candidate Bill Hill. His name still appears on the Aug. 18 primary ballot. He had raised less than $900,000 for the race.

Bill Hill is a commercial fisherman, former educator, and independent candidate for U.S. House who has emerged as the leading challenger to Republican incumbent Nick Begich. A Dena'ina Athabascan from the Bristol Bay region, he served as superintendent of the Bristol Bay School District and was named Alaska Superintendent of the Year in 2023. After Democratic candidate Matt Schultz suspended his campaign in July 2026 and endorsed him, Hill has been endorsed by more than 23 organizations including the Alaska AFL-CIO, National Education Association, and End Citizens United, and has raised over $...

Eric Hafner is a federal prisoner serving a 20-year sentence in New York and a perennial Democratic candidate for Alaska's U.S. House seat. He finished fourth in the 2024 general election after surviving court challenges to his ballot eligibility. His candidacy has drawn attention to Alaska's ballot access laws and the unique dynamics of the state's top-four primary system.

Race Forecast

Nick Begich III favored

Nick Begich III: 65% modeled win probability with a +5.0 pts estimated margin

Lean R
Win Probability 65%
Estimated Margin +5.0 pts
Polling Inputs 0 polls
Forecast confidence: low Model: DeepSeek V4 Flash (07-31) Generated: 8/7/2026

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 8/7/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: DeepSeek V4 Flash (07-31)GPT-5.6 Luna
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