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2026 Alabama's 2nd Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

United States House of Representatives · Alabama's 2nd Congressional District Updated October 10, 2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026
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About this race

Alabama's 2nd Congressional District is a November 3, 2026 U.S. House general-election contest between Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures and Republican nominee Rhett Marques. The matchup follows special primaries held after the state adopted new congressional lines following litigation and U.S. Supreme Court rulings; the August 11 primaries produced very low statewide turnout, and no runoff was permitted.

Marques, an Alabama state representative from Enterprise, won the Republican nomination and is challenging Figures in a redrawn district that no longer includes Mobile and is estimated to lean Republican. In September 2026, Sabato's Crystal Ball shifted its rating from "Likely Republican" to "Leans Republican" — citing Figures' incumbency, Democratic polling showing the candidates tied at 46%, and potential Black turnout — as national groups from both parties invest in one of the most closely watched House races of the cycle.

Candidates

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Shomari Figures
Democratic Incumbent

Shomari Figures is the Democratic U.S. representative for Alabama's 2nd Congressional District, first elected in 2024, seeking reelection in the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican nominee Rhett Marques. He advanced unopposed through the Democratic special-primary process. A former deputy chief of staff at the U.S. Department of Justice, he has campaigned on delivering federal funding to the district and protecting Social Security, public education, and healthcare; in September 2026 he introduced the Restoring Opportunity for Advanced Education Act to revive Grad PLUS loans and a bill to block President Trump's beef import order.

Rhett Marques
Republican

Rhett Marques is a Republican member of the Alabama House of Representatives from Enterprise, representing District 91 since 2018. He won the August 11, 2026 special Republican primary for Alabama's 2nd Congressional District and faces incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures in the November 3 general election. Endorsed by President Donald Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, Marques campaigns on his conservative record in the Legislature; in September 2026 he received the National Federation of Independent Business endorsement, pledged to reduce taxes and regulations on small businesses, and voiced support for Trump's $5,000 stimulus check pledge.

Forecast

Rhett Marques favored

Rhett Marques: 62% modeled win probability with a +3.0 pts estimated margin

Tilt R
Rhett Marques win probability 62%
Estimated Margin +3.0 pts
Polling Inputs 3 polls
Forecast confidence: medium Generated: Oct 10, 2026

Polling

3 polls, newest first
Tulchin Research Aug 24, 2026
Shomari Figures 47%
Rhett Marques 47%
Source
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) Jul 29, 2026 · 2 months old
n=421
Shomari Figures 46%
Rhett Marques 46%
Source
Impact Research Jun 22, 2026 · 3 months old
n=400
Shomari Figures 44%
Rhett Marques 45%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated October 10, 2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

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Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

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