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2026 Arkansas's 1st Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
United States House of Representatives (1st Congressional District) • Arkansas's 1st Congressional District
Updated: 6/26/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

The 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st Congressional District will determine who represents this strongly Republican-leaning district in the U.S. House of Representatives. Incumbent Republican Rep. Rick Crawford, who has held the seat since 2011 and chairs the House Intelligence Committee, faces challenges from Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green and Libertarian Steve Parsons. While forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Republican, the national political landscape in 2026 could see Democrats aiming for competitiveness in House control, potentially influencing local dynamics. The district covers northeastern and parts of southeastern Arkansas, including Jonesboro.

Candidates

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Rick Crawford

Rick Crawford

R Incumbent

Rick Crawford is the incumbent U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 1st Congressional District, first elected in 2010. He serves as chair of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence and as vice ranking member of the House Agriculture Committee. Prior to Congress, he served in the U.S. Army as an Explosive Ordnance Disposal Technician and founded the AgWatch Network.

Race Forecast

Rick Crawford favored

Rick Crawford: 97% modeled win probability with a +30.0 pts estimated margin

Safe R
Win Probability 97%
Estimated Margin +30.0 pts
Polling Inputs 0 polls
Forecast confidence: medium Model: Gemini 2.5 Flash Generated: 6/26/2026

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 6/26/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: Gemini 2.5 FlashClaude Sonnet 4.6Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)Grok 4.20
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Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

AI-generated content notice: Candidate summaries, comparisons, classifications, and forecasts may be generated with AI and can be incomplete, incorrect, or outdated. Check the linked evidence and official election sources before relying on them. How Smarter.Vote uses AI.

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