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2026 Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
U.S. House of Representatives (2nd Congressional District) • Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District
Updated: 7/26/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

The 2026 election for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District features incumbent Republican French Hill facing Democratic nominee Chris Jones. Hill has represented the district since 2015 and is a former banker and Bush administration official. Jones, a nuclear engineer and former Democratic gubernatorial candidate, is challenging Hill in a district that has leaned Republican but has become more competitive. The race will test Democratic efforts to flip a seat in a red state.

Latest Poll

Chris Jones for Congress · May 21

Hill
43%
Jones
46%
View detailed results ↓

Candidates

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French Hill

French Hill

R Incumbent

French Hill is the incumbent U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District, first elected in 2014. He is a former banker and served as a deputy assistant secretary in the U.S. Treasury under President George H.W. Bush. Hill is chairman of the House Financial Services Committee and has focused on economic growth, financial services, and national security.

Chris Jones is a nuclear engineer, urban planner, and ordained minister who is the Democratic nominee for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District in 2026. He was the Democratic nominee for governor in 2022, winning the primary with 70% of the vote before losing to Sarah Huckabee Sanders. Jones previously led the Arkansas Regional Innovation Hub, served as Assistant Dean for Graduate Students at MIT, and his campaign focuses on affordability, accountability, and opportunity for all Arkansans.

Race Forecast

French Hill favored

French Hill: 72% modeled win probability with a +5.0 pts estimated margin

Lean R
Win Probability 72%
Estimated Margin +5.0 pts
Polling Inputs 1 poll
Forecast confidence: medium Model: DeepSeek V4 Flash Generated: 7/26/2026

Polling

Chris Jones for Congress May 21, 2026
French Hill
43%
Chris Jones
46%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 7/26/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: DeepSeek V4 FlashGPT-5 NanoClaude Haiku 4.5Gemini 3.1 Flash LiteGrok 4.3
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Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

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