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2026 Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

U.S. House of Representatives · Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District Updated October 10, 2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026
Compare both candidates

About this race

The 2026 general election for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District features incumbent Republican French Hill, who has represented the district since 2015 and chairs the House Financial Services Committee, against Democratic nominee Chris Jones, a nuclear engineer, urban planner, and ordained minister who was the party's 2022 gubernatorial nominee.

Both won their March 3, 2026 primaries. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its target list in August and to its "Red to Blue" program on October 5, 2026. Hill emphasizes his legislative record, including the enacted 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act and tax-relief measures, while Jones campaigns on affordability, healthcare, and accountability. Early voting begins October 19 ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election.

Candidates

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French Hill

French Hill

Republican Incumbent

French Hill is the incumbent U.S. Representative for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District, first elected in 2014 and seeking a seventh term. A former community banker and Bush administration Treasury official, he chairs the House Financial Services Committee and has touted enacted legislation such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act and tax-relief measures, including eliminating taxes on tips and overtime pay. He won the March 3, 2026 Republican primary with about 77% of the vote.

Chris Jones

Chris Jones

Democratic

Chris Jones is a nuclear engineer, urban planner, and ordained minister who is the Democratic nominee for Arkansas's 2nd Congressional District. He was the Democratic gubernatorial nominee in 2022, losing to Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and won the March 3, 2026 Democratic primary. His campaign emphasizes affordability, healthcare, and accountability, and if elected he would be Arkansas's first Black member of Congress.

Forecast

Toss-up

Toss-up candidate: 54% modeled win probability with a +1.5 pts estimated margin

Toss-up
Toss-up candidate win probability 54%
Estimated Margin +1.5 pts
Polling Inputs 3 polls
Forecast confidence: low Generated: Oct 10, 2026

Polling

3 polls, newest first
Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College Aug 12, 2026
n=1,112
French Hill 44%
Chris Jones 48%
Source
2040 Strategy Group May 8, 2026 · 5 months old
n=660
French Hill 43%
Chris Jones 46%
Source
John Zogby Strategies Apr 28, 2025 · over a year old Previous cycle
n=400
French Hill 41.2%
Chris Jones 40%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated October 10, 2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

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Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

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