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2026 Arkansas's 4th Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
U.S. House of Representatives (4th Congressional District) • Arkansas' 4th Congressional District
Updated: 6/26/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

This election is for the U.S. House of Representatives in Arkansas' 4th Congressional District. The race features incumbent Republican Bruce Westerman and Democratic challenger James Russell. This district is considered safely Republican, making Westerman the favored candidate. The outcome will determine who represents the district in the U.S. House, influencing national policy and legislative priorities.

Candidates

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BW

Bruce Westerman

R Incumbent

Bruce Westerman is the incumbent U.S. Representative for Arkansas' 4th Congressional District. He advanced from the Republican primary in the 2026 election cycle.

James Russell is a small business owner and former Physician Credentialing Specialist. He is running for Congress in Arkansas' 4th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He previously ran for Governor of Arkansas in the 2022 Democratic Primary.

Race Forecast

Bruce Westerman favored

Bruce Westerman: 98% modeled win probability with a +40.0 pts estimated margin

Safe R
Win Probability 98%
Estimated Margin +40.0 pts
Polling Inputs 0 polls
Forecast confidence: high Model: Gemini 2.5 Flash Generated: 6/26/2026

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 6/26/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: Gemini 2.5 FlashClaude Sonnet 4.6Gemini 3.1 Pro (Preview)Grok 4.20
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Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

AI-generated content notice: Candidate summaries, comparisons, classifications, and forecasts may be generated with AI and can be incomplete, incorrect, or outdated. Check the linked evidence and official election sources before relying on them. How Smarter.Vote uses AI.

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