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2026 Arizona's 1st Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
U.S. House of Representatives (1st Congressional District) • Arizona's 1st Congressional District
Updated: 8/7/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

The 2026 election for Arizona's 1st Congressional District is an open-seat race following the retirement of Republican incumbent David Schweikert, who ran for governor. The district, covering northeast Phoenix, Scottsdale, Fountain Hills, and Paradise Valley, is a competitive battleground that Trump carried by 3 points in 2024 and Biden won by 1.5 points in 2020. Following the July 21, 2026 primaries, Democrat Amish Shah, a former state representative and emergency physician, will face Republican Jay Feely, a former NFL kicker endorsed by President Trump, in the general election. Libertarian Monica Alponte is also on the ballot. Cook Political Report rates the race a Toss Up, and control of the U.S. House could hinge on the outcome.

Latest Poll

HighGround Inc. · Feb 25

Shah
33%
3 polls total — view all ↓

Candidates

Compare all

Amish Shah is a former Arizona state representative and an emergency room physician who served in the Arizona House from 2019 to 2025. He won the July 21, 2026 Democratic primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District, defeating DCCC-backed Marlene Galán-Woods in a grassroots victory. His campaign emphasizes his medical background and healthcare policy work, focusing on lowering drug costs, expanding Medicaid, and defending democracy.

Jay Feely is a former NFL placekicker who played 14 seasons with seven teams, including the Arizona Cardinals from 2010 to 2013, and later became an NFL broadcaster. A political newcomer endorsed by President Donald Trump, he won the July 21, 2026 Republican primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District, defeating former state lawmaker Joseph Chaplik. His campaign emphasizes conservative values, supporting law enforcement, and economic growth, and he has raised over $2.5 million.

Monica Alponte is a retired business owner, writer, and former political TV talk show co-host running as the Libertarian nominee for Arizona's 1st Congressional District. Raised in a military family and an Arizona resident for 25 years, she advocates for non-interventionist foreign policy, fiscal restraint, free speech, and property rights under the slogan "Not Left, Not Right, Just Free." She has worked in local governance on HOA reform, road safety, and animal rescue.

Race Forecast

Amish Shah favored

Amish Shah: 70% modeled win probability with a +4.0 pts estimated margin

Lean D
Win Probability 70%
Estimated Margin +4.0 pts
Polling Inputs 0 polls
Forecast confidence: low Model: DeepSeek V4 Flash (07-31) Generated: 8/7/2026

Polling

HighGround Inc. Feb 25, 2026
n=400
Amish Shah
33%
Source
NextGen Polling Apr 22, 2026
n=409
Jay Feely
15%
Source
NextGen Polling Jun 19, 2026
n=695
Jay Feely
25%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 8/7/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: DeepSeek V4 Flash (07-31)GPT-5.6 Luna
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Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

AI-generated content notice: Candidate summaries, comparisons, classifications, and forecasts may be generated with AI and can be incomplete, incorrect, or outdated. Check the linked evidence and official election sources before relying on them. How Smarter.Vote uses AI.

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