Skip to main content
Smarter.Vote

2026 Arizona Governor Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Governor · Arizona Updated October 6, 2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026
Compare all 4 candidates

About this race

Incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs and Republican U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs — endorsed by President Trump after winning the July 21 primary — face off in Arizona's 2026 gubernatorial election, a marquee contest in a purple state that Trump carried in 2024. The race centers on sharp contrasts over the economy, immigration, and state governance, with Hobbs pointing to her record vetoes of GOP bills and reproductive-rights protections while Biggs ties her to a pay-to-play investigation and pledges to cut taxes and secure the border.

Recent August polls show Hobbs with a double-digit lead — 48%-35% in a Noble Predictive Insights survey (Aug 10-13) and 49.5%-34.3% in a HighGround poll (Aug 15-18) — driven by her advantage among independents and her refusal to debate Biggs. This is also the first election for Arizona's new lieutenant governor post, with Hobbs tapping former Mesa Mayor John Giles and Biggs selecting former state Sen. Sine Kerr as their running mates; Green Party nominee Risa Lombardo and No Labels nominee Teri Hourihan are also on the ballot.

Candidates

Tick Compare on two or more cards to see them side by side.

Katie Hobbs

Katie Hobbs

Democratic Incumbent

Katie Hobbs is the incumbent Democratic governor of Arizona seeking reelection in 2026. Before becoming governor, she served as Arizona secretary of state and previously held seats in the Arizona Legislature; the governor's office says she is the first social worker to serve as governor and that she studied at Northern Arizona University and Arizona State University. In the general election she faces Republican nominee Andy Biggs, and she has declined to debate her rivals while selecting former Mesa Mayor John Giles as her running mate for the new lieutenant governor post.

Andy Biggs

Andy Biggs

Republican

Andy Biggs is a Republican U.S. representative from Arizona's 5th Congressional District and the Republican nominee for Arizona governor in 2026, having won the July 21 primary over Rep. David Schweikert and two other candidates. His campaign highlights his congressional record and conservative priorities on border security, taxes, education, and energy, and he selected former state Sen. Sine Kerr as his running mate for the new lieutenant governor post.

Teri Hourihan
No Labels

Teri Hourihan is the No Labels Party nominee for Arizona governor. A licensed professional counselor (PhD, LPC) and founder/CEO of Teri's Health Services, she defeated Hugh Lytle in the July 21, 2026, No Labels primary despite being outspent 26-to-1. She has criticized Gov. Katie Hobbs on affordability and Rep. Andy Biggs for his support of President Trump, and selected independent real estate broker Angela Harrolle Mohan as her running mate for the new lieutenant governor post.

Green

Risa Lombardo is the Green Party nominee for Arizona governor, on the November ballot after winning the July 21, 2026 Green primary. A former Republican precinct committeewoman who switched parties, her candidacy has been controversial: the Arizona Green Party calls her a "sham" candidate and has urged members not to vote for her, and reporting found she spent most of her $1.1 million in Clean Elections funds on a Nevada company incorporated shortly before her first payment.

Forecast

Katie Hobbs favored

Katie Hobbs: 86% modeled win probability with a +11.0 pts estimated margin

Likely D
Katie Hobbs win probability 86%
Estimated Margin +11.0 pts
Polling Inputs 10 polls
Forecast confidence: medium Generated: Oct 6, 2026

Polling

10 polls, newest first
Arizona State University Sep 4, 2026
n=1,300
Katie Hobbs 47%
Andy Biggs 34%
Teri Hourihan 2%
Risa Lombardo 1%
Source
HighGround Public Affairs Aug 25, 2026
n=400
Katie Hobbs 50%
Andy Biggs 34%
Source
Quantus Insights Aug 21, 2026
n=780
Katie Hobbs 49%
Andy Biggs 43%
Source
NextGen Polling Aug 20, 2026
n=1,627
Katie Hobbs 39%
Andy Biggs 38%
Source
HighGround Public Affairs Aug 18, 2026
n=400
Katie Hobbs 49.5%
Andy Biggs 34.3%
Source
Stealth Analytics Aug 17, 2026
n=530
Katie Hobbs 43%
Andy Biggs 38%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated October 6, 2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Smarter.Vote

Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

Funded mostly by its founder, with help from readers. Expanding to local races and continuing in 2028 depends on reader support.

AI-generated content notice: Candidate summaries, comparisons, classifications, and forecasts may be generated with AI and can be incomplete, incorrect, or outdated. Check the linked evidence and official election sources before relying on them. How Smarter.Vote uses AI.

© 2026 Smarter.Vote LLC. Not affiliated with any government or political campaign.