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2026 Arizona's 2nd Congressional District Election
Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.
Arizona's 2nd Congressional District election is a rematch between incumbent Republican Representative Eli Crane and Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez, the former Navajo Nation President. Both advanced from uncontested primaries on July 21, 2026, setting up a repeat of the 2024 contest, which Crane won with 54.5% of the vote. The district covers more than half of Arizona by land area, including Flagstaff, Prescott, the Grand Canyon, and the Navajo Nation, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7. Key issues include federal land management, tribal sovereignty, economic development, and the federal budget, with Nez criticizing Crane's voting record and Crane emphasizing his conservative record and military background. A July 2026 poll commissioned by the Democratic-aligned Arizona Eagle PAC showed the two candidates nearly tied in the initial ballot test.
Candidates
Compare allJonathan Nez is a Democrat running for Arizona's 2nd Congressional District. Born in Tuba City and raised in Shonto, Arizona, he served as president of the Navajo Nation from 2019 to 2023 and previously as vice president. He advanced from the uncontested Democratic primary on July 21, 2026, setting up a rematch with incumbent Republican Eli Crane, whom he lost to in 2024 by about nine points.
Eli Crane
Eli Crane is the incumbent Republican U.S. Representative for Arizona's 2nd Congressional District, first elected in 2022. Born in Tucson in 1980, he served in the U.S. Navy from 2001 to 2014 and co-founded Bottle Breacher, a bottle-opener company. He advanced from the uncontested Republican primary on July 21, 2026, and is seeking a third term against Democrat Jonathan Nez in the November 3, 2026 general election.
Race Forecast
Eli Crane favored
Eli Crane: 68% modeled win probability with a +5.0 pts estimated margin
Polling
About this research
Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 8/4/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.