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2026 Arizona's 3rd Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
U.S. House of Representatives (3rd Congressional District) • Arizona's 3rd Congressional District
Updated: 6/26/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

Incumbent Democratic Rep. Yassamin Ansari, first elected in 2024, is seeking a second term representing Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, which covers southern and western Phoenix, downtown Phoenix, and part of Glendale. The district is considered a safely Democratic seat (Cook PVI D+22), and Ansari won the 2024 general election with approximately 71% of the vote. Ansari faces three challengers in the 2026 general election: Republican Nicholas Glenn, Green Party candidate David Redkey, and No Labels candidate Alan Aversa. The primary election is scheduled for July 21, 2026.

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Yassamin Ansari

Yassamin Ansari

D Incumbent

Yassamin Ansari is the incumbent U.S. Representative for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, first elected in 2024. A former Phoenix City Council member and UN climate policy adviser, she is the youngest woman serving in the 119th Congress and serves as Democratic Freshman Class President. Ansari has focused on climate action, reproductive rights, and affordability issues, and in April 2026 introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.

Race Forecast

Yassamin Ansari favored

Yassamin Ansari: 98% modeled win probability with a +38.0 pts estimated margin

Safe D
Win Probability 98%
Estimated Margin +38.0 pts
Polling Inputs 0 polls
Forecast confidence: high Model: Gemini 2.5 Flash Generated: 6/25/2026

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 6/26/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: Gemini 2.5 Flashmeta-llama/llama-3.3-70b-instruct
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