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2026 Arizona's 4th Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
United States House of Representatives (4th Congressional District) • Arizona's 4th Congressional District
Updated: 6/25/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

Arizona's 4th Congressional District, encompassing parts of Phoenix (Ahwatukee), Tempe, and Chandler, will hold an election on November 3, 2026, to elect its U.S. Representative. Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton, first elected in 2018 and representing the district since 2023 after redistricting, is seeking re-election. He faces a primary challenge from progressive activist Kai Newkirk on July 21, 2026. On the Republican side, physician Zuhdi Jasser is the sole candidate in the GOP primary. Independent candidates Tisha Benoit and John Fillmore are also running in the No Labels Party primary. The district is rated as Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts, making the Democratic primary the key contested race in this cycle.

Candidates

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GS

Greg Stanton

D Incumbent

Greg Stanton is the incumbent U.S. Representative for Arizona's 4th Congressional District, first elected in 2018 representing the former 9th district and the 4th district since 2023. He previously served as Mayor of Phoenix from 2012 to 2018 and on the Phoenix City Council for nine years. Stanton serves on the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, the Foreign Affairs Committee, and the Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, and he co-founded the bipartisan Extreme Heat Caucus.

Kai Newkirk is a progressive activist and organizer challenging incumbent Greg Stanton in the Democratic primary. He previously led the group 'For All' and was a campaign director for Democracy Spring, advocating for campaign finance reform and filibuster elimination. Newkirk has pledged not to accept corporate PAC money and is running on a platform focused on affordability, abolishing ICE, and challenging what he views as corporate influence in the Democratic Party.

Dr. Zuhdi Jasser is a cardiologist and internal medicine physician in Phoenix running as a Republican for Arizona's 4th Congressional District. He is the son of Syrian immigrants, a former U.S. Navy Lieutenant, and founder and president of the American Islamic Forum for Democracy (AIFD). Jasser's campaign focuses on balancing the federal budget, improving the economy, increasing border security, and funding research for drug addiction and obesity.

Race Forecast

Greg Stanton favored

Greg Stanton: 95% modeled win probability with a +18.0 pts estimated margin

Safe D
Win Probability 95%
Estimated Margin +18.0 pts
Polling Inputs 0 polls
Forecast confidence: medium Model: Gemini 2.5 Flash Generated: 6/25/2026

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 6/25/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: Gemini 2.5 Flash
Smarter.Vote

Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

AI-generated content notice: Candidate summaries, comparisons, classifications, and forecasts may be generated with AI and can be incomplete, incorrect, or outdated. Check the linked evidence and official election sources before relying on them. How Smarter.Vote uses AI.

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