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2026 California's 6th Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

United States House of Representatives · California's 6th Congressional District Updated October 10, 2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026
Compare both candidates

About this race

The 2026 general election for California's 6th Congressional District pits independent incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley, a Republican who switched to No Party Preference, against Democratic former state senator and pediatrician Dr. Richard Pan. The race is being held under a dramatically redrawn district created by California's Proposition 50 mid-decade redistricting, which shifted the seat to cover parts of Sacramento, Placer, and Yolo counties; the district leans Democratic (Cook PVI D+5) and is rated leaning or solidly Democratic by major forecasters, so the outcome could help determine control of the U.S. House.

Kiley campaigns as an independent voice focused on cost-of-living and public safety while continuing to caucus with Republicans to keep his committee assignments, and he has opposed Proposition 40, the state's wealth-tax measure; Pan highlights protecting healthcare access and countering HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s vaccine policies, and has said he is ready for a third debate after the two clashed in an August 17, 2026 debate in The Sacramento Bee newsroom.

Candidates

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Richard Pan

Richard Pan

Democratic

Richard Pan is a Sacramento pediatrician, former UC Davis professor, and former California state senator who advanced from the June 2, 2026 top-two primary to the general election for California's 6th Congressional District. His campaign emphasizes protecting healthcare access, countering the Trump administration's and HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s public health policies, lowering costs for working families, and gun safety; he is endorsed by the California Democratic Party, major labor unions, and prominent figures including former Vice President Kamala Harris and Gov. Gavin Newsom. Pan is running against independent incumbent Rep. Kevin Kiley in a race shaped by California's redrawn district map.

Kevin Kiley

Kevin Kiley

No Party Preference Incumbent

Kevin Kiley is a two-term U.S. representative who currently represents California's 3rd Congressional District and is running for re-election in the newly redrawn 6th District. A former Republican who switched to No Party Preference in March 2026, he is the House's only independent while continuing to caucus with Republicans to retain committee assignments, and he has said he is working to change House rules that tie committee seats to party caucuses. He emphasizes nonpartisan leadership focused on cost-of-living and public safety, opposes Proposition 40, and holds a significant campaign cash advantage over Democrat Richard Pan, with roughly $2.1 million on hand.

Forecast

Richard Pan favored

Richard Pan: 64% modeled win probability with a +3.5 pts estimated margin

Tilt D
Richard Pan win probability 64%
Estimated Margin +3.5 pts
Polling Inputs 2 polls
Forecast confidence: medium Generated: Oct 10, 2026

Polling

2 polls, newest first
The Bullfinch Group Sep 1, 2026
n=927
Richard Pan 36.7%
Kevin Kiley 36.5%
Source
The Bullfinch Group Jul 24, 2026 · 2 months old
n=741
Richard Pan 39%
Kevin Kiley 35%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated October 10, 2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

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Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

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