Skip to main content
Smarter.Vote

2026 California's 11th Congressional District Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

U.S. House of Representatives · California's 11th Congressional District Updated October 8, 2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026
Compare both candidates

About this race

The 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District will determine who represents the San Francisco-based district in the U.S. House of Representatives, following the retirement of Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, who first won the seat in 1987. State Senator Scott Wiener and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, both Democrats, advanced from the June 2 top-two primary and will face off in the November 3 general election.

Because California's top-two system allowed two Democrats to advance, the race is one of several same-party general elections in the state and is rated Solid/Safe Democratic by major forecasters. The contest highlights a contrast within the party: Wiener runs as a more moderate, pro-housing candidate emphasizing legislative results, while Chan runs as a more progressive candidate focused on affordability and community input, and has been endorsed by Pelosi, former U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer, and former rival Saikat Chakrabarti.

At the first general-election debate on Oct. 1, 2026, co-hosted by KQED and the San Francisco Chronicle, AI regulation emerged as a central issue: Wiener pointed to his SB 53 AI-safety law and apologized for his campaign's parody AI chatbot that mimicked Chan, while Chan called for a moratorium on new data centers and restrictions on "superintelligence." Housing policy remains a central fault line, and the San Francisco Chronicle has endorsed Wiener.

Candidates

Tick Compare on two or more cards to see them side by side.

Connie Chan

Connie Chan

Democratic

Connie Chan is a Democratic member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors representing District 1 since January 2021, and a candidate for California's 11th Congressional District in the 2026 general election. Born in Hong Kong and raised in San Francisco, she previously worked as a legislative aide to Supervisor Sophie Maxwell, District Attorney Kamala Harris, Supervisor Aaron Peskin, and Assemblymember Kevin Mullin. She has been endorsed by House Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi, former U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer, and former rival Saikat Chakrabarti; if elected, she would be the first Asian American to represent San Francisco in the U.S. House.

Scott Wiener

Scott Wiener

Democratic

Scott Wiener is a Democratic State Senator representing California's 11th Senate District, which includes San Francisco and parts of San Mateo County. A former San Francisco Board of Supervisors member and deputy city attorney, he is running for the U.S. House in California's 11th Congressional District in 2026, having advanced from the June primary to the general election alongside Connie Chan. He is known for advancing pro-housing legislation and LGBTQ rights and for authoring California's SB 53 AI-safety law; at the Oct. 1, 2026 debate he apologized for his campaign's parody AI chatbot that mimicked Chan, and he has been endorsed by the San Francisco Chronicle.

Forecast

Scott Wiener favored

Scott Wiener: 80% modeled win probability with a +7.0 pts estimated margin

Likely D
Scott Wiener win probability 80%
Estimated Margin +7.0 pts
Polling Inputs 2 polls
Forecast confidence: medium Generated: Oct 8, 2026

Polling

2 polls, newest first
Lake Research Partners Jul 19, 2026 · 2 months old
n=500
Connie Chan 40%
Scott Wiener 45%
Source
Public Policy Polling Jun 27, 2026 · 3 months old
n=509
Connie Chan 38%
Scott Wiener 39%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated October 8, 2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Smarter.Vote

Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

Funded mostly by its founder, with help from readers. Expanding to local races and continuing in 2028 depends on reader support.

AI-generated content notice: Candidate summaries, comparisons, classifications, and forecasts may be generated with AI and can be incomplete, incorrect, or outdated. Check the linked evidence and official election sources before relying on them. How Smarter.Vote uses AI.

© 2026 Smarter.Vote LLC. Not affiliated with any government or political campaign.