Skip to main content
Smarter.Vote

2026 Maine U.S. Senate Election

Compare candidates’ positions, polling, and sourced race updates.

Election: November 3, 2026
U.S. Senate (Statewide) • Maine
Updated: 8/8/2026
0 days until Election Day November 3, 2026

The 2026 Maine U.S. Senate election will determine one of Maine's two seats in the U.S. Senate, with the outcome carrying national implications for control of the chamber. Incumbent Republican Susan Collins, first elected in 1996, is seeking a sixth term in a state that has swung between Republican and Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. She faces Democratic nominee Troy Jackson, a former Maine Senate president and fifth-generation logger from Allagash, who was selected at the party's July 25, 2026 convention after the original nominee, Graham Platner, withdrew amid a sexual assault allegation he denies. The race pits Collins' long tenure and independent brand against Jackson's progressive, labor-aligned campaign, and early polling shows a statistical tie in what is expected to be one of the most competitive and expensive Senate races of the cycle.

Latest Poll

Z to A Research · Jul 8

Jackson
47%
Collins
48%
4 polls total — view all ↓

Candidates

Compare all
Susan Collins

Susan Collins

R Incumbent

Susan Collins is the incumbent U.S. Senator for Maine. She was first elected to the Senate in 1996 and is currently serving her fifth term. Collins is known for her moderate political positions and her willingness to work across the aisle.

Troy Jackson is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine, a fifth-generation logger from Allagash and former president of the Maine Senate. He served in the Maine Senate from 2008 to 2014 and 2016 to 2024, and was selected as the party's Senate nominee at a July 25, 2026 convention after original nominee Graham Platner withdrew. Jackson, who finished third in the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, is running on a progressive, working-class populist platform including Medicare for All, taxing billionaires, and a federal right to abortion.

Race Forecast

Troy Jackson favored

Troy Jackson: 64% modeled win probability with a +3.0 pts estimated margin

Tilt D
Win Probability 64%
Estimated Margin +3.0 pts
Polling Inputs 4 polls
Forecast confidence: medium Model: DeepSeek V4 Flash (07-31) Generated: 8/8/2026

Polling

Z to A Research Jul 8, 2026
n=988
Troy Jackson
47%
Susan Collins
48%
Source
Public Policy Polling Jul 7, 2026
n=785
Troy Jackson
49%
Susan Collins
44%
Source
UNH Survey Center Jul 20, 2026
n=1,178
Troy Jackson
49%
Susan Collins
46%
Source
Hart Research Associates Aug 1, 2026
n=802
Troy Jackson
49%
Susan Collins
45%
Source

About this research

Data compiled from public sources and analyzed using AI. Last updated 8/8/2026. Visit candidate websites for the most current information.

Models: DeepSeek V4 Flash (07-31)GPT-5.6 LunaClaude Haiku 4.5Gemini 3.1 Flash LiteGrok 4.3
Smarter.Vote

Independent, sourced election research for informational purposes. Always confirm voting information with official election authorities.

AI-generated content notice: Candidate summaries, comparisons, classifications, and forecasts may be generated with AI and can be incomplete, incorrect, or outdated. Check the linked evidence and official election sources before relying on them. How Smarter.Vote uses AI.

© 2026 Smarter.Vote LLC. Not affiliated with any government or political campaign.